Scenario Modeling Tool

Adjust key business assumptions to see real-time impact on financial projections

Total 5-Year Revenue
£340.8M
+0.0% vs baseline
Total Net Income
£164.6M
+0.0% vs baseline
Year 5 Net Margin
48.3%
Year 5 Locations
775

Assumptions

Revenue Drivers

£4.50
Range: £3.00 - £7.00
100
Range: 50 - 200 transactions

Cost Structure

25%
Range: 15% - 40%
£12.0K
Range: £5K - £25K
8%
Range: 3% - 15%

Expansion Plan

55
Range: 25 - 100 locations
180
Range: 50 - 300 locations

Revenue Projection

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 503570105140Revenue (£M)
  • Scenario Revenue
  • Baseline Revenue

Profitability Breakdown

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 50255075100Amount (£M)
  • Gross Profit
  • EBITDA
  • Net Income

Margin Analysis

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5020406080Margin (%)
  • Gross Margin
  • EBITDA Margin
  • Net Margin

Location Growth & Unit Economics

Year 1Year 3Year 50200400600800
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 504590135180

Scenario Insights

Your scenario generates £340.8M in total revenue over 5 years, which is +0.0% compared to baseline projections.
Total net income of £164.6M represents a +0.0% variance from baseline.
By Year 5, your scenario reaches 775 locations with a 48.3% net margin.

Sensitivity Heatmap

Visualize how varying two variables simultaneously impacts Year 5 Net Income

50658095110125140155170185200£3.00£3.50£4.00£4.50£5.00£5.50£6.00£6.50£7.00Avg Transaction ValueDaily Transactions/Location
Lower Income
Higher Income

Interpretation Guide

Green zones represent optimal operating ranges with highest Year 5 net income.

Yellow zones indicate moderate performance scenarios.

Red zones highlight risk areas with lower profitability.

Hover over cells to see exact values. Use the dropdowns to explore different variable combinations.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Run probabilistic analysis to forecast range of potential outcomes with confidence intervals

Uncertainty Ranges

Define variability for key assumptions (% deviation from base case)

±15%
±20%
±10%
±25%
±30%
1000

Configure uncertainty ranges and click "Run Simulation" to generate probabilistic forecasts

Important Disclaimer Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and Financial Projections

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding financial projections, revenue forecasts, unit economics, market opportunity, growth rates, and business plans. Such statements are based on current expectations, estimates, and projections about our industry and markets in which we operate, management's beliefs, and assumptions made by management.

Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements due to various factors, including but not limited to: changes in market conditions, regulatory developments, competitive pressures, technological changes, operational challenges, capital requirements, customer adoption rates, and other risks inherent in early-stage businesses.

The financial projections and scenarios presented herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as guarantees of future performance. These projections are based on assumptions that may or may not prove accurate, and actual results may vary significantly. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Nothing in this presentation constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Any investment decision should be made only after careful consideration of all relevant information and consultation with qualified financial, legal, and tax advisors. Prospective investors should conduct their own due diligence and should not rely solely on the information provided herein.

Evonova Group undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.